23.7.21

MARKING OFF.

A proper circus has a train, and elephants.  That's also true of a proper miniature circus. Find yourself a miniature circus and go to it. 

 The Karlson Brothers Circus is going back on the road.


See you down the road.

YOU DON'T GET NICE THINGS WHEN YOU'RE FROM MILWAUKEE.

A lot of things can change in fifty years, or a century.
People forget that Milwaukee was poised to be a global super-city at the turn of the 20th century. Milwaukee City Hall was the tallest secular building in the world, and the city had growth and population density that rivaled New York, London and Paris.

It didn’t pan out – seems like it never does for Milwaukee. People forgot about the city that “Feeds and Supplies the World.” Factories closed. Racial discrimination reared its ugly head. The rust belt decay took hold. Affluent folks fled to the suburbs and took their wealth with them, and Milwaukee became a scapegoat for the rest of the state to look down upon.
From time to time, Cold Spring Shops has referred to that industrial collapse.

Fifty years ago, the Bucks won a championship, just before Milwaukee Hamilton's class of 1971 graduated.  Buck rooting interest among the people you see in this photograph varied from a little to a lot, both then, and now.


Some still live in the city, some in the suburbs, a few out of state.  None of us celebrated that first Buck championship by diving into the Milwaukee River, although it was a warm evening that April 30.  "Those kids diving off the bridge into the Milwaukee River – they would have come out with chemical burns if they had tried that in 1971."  Apparently the fishing near the North Avenue bridge has come back too.

A few other errors of that earlier era have been corrected.
I saw 100,000 deliriously giddy people packed into a “Deer District” that sits on top of a scar.

When I moved to Milwaukee nine years ago, that’s what it was – a scar, both metaphorical and physical.

This scar was a reminder of a time when some privileged someones decided to rip out one of the Midwest’s most vibrant African American neighborhoods so they could build a freeway, so that some white folks could get to their homes in the suburbs five minutes more quickly.

And then decades later, when they tore down that ill-conceived Park East Freeway, 24 acres of blighted gravel pit just sat there like a knife through Milwaukee’s heart. When I moved to Milwaukee, I figured that ugly scar would be with us forever.
Misconceived urban expressways as "urban renewal" weren't just a Milwaukee thing; and I'm still skeptical about hoping for sports and entertainment facilities to keep a city vibrant. That Milwaukee loft and office space is cheaper than its counterpart in Chicago, and that more frequent Amtrak service to and from Chicago as well as enhanced telecommunications might make the value proposition for Milwaukee as a place for urban professionals of all ancestries to live and work more favorable.
Now, it would be ridiculous and reductionist to say this NBA title marks a turning point for the city of Milwaukee.

This city still grapples with a legacy of racial discrimination that won’t just go away. It’s still the scapegoat of a state legislature that sees Milwaukee as its perennial punching bag. And a humming decade of businesses reinvesting in Milwaukee has suddenly been slammed into neutral amid the uncertainty of the pandemic.

But last night, Milwaukee finally got to have something nice. And it may not be a panacea, but it reminded us why we keep showing up, and why we keep doing the work.

In Downtown Milwaukee, I saw a vibrant city firing on all cylinders and living up to its full potential. I saw white guys who wear MAGA hats hugging Black guys who wear Black Lives Matter shirts. I saw just a little bit of pride creeping out from under that Midwest veneer of humility.

No, we’re not LA or New York or Miami. We never will be. We don’t want to be.

We’re authentic and awkward and doofy and full of passion. We’re Milwaukee.
Not the northernmost suburb of Chicago, either, even though there's some intriguing baseball involving the Brewers and the White Sox coming up.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

The Milwaukee Bucks might have won a world championship, but the idiocy around the world goes on all the same.

1.  When Ronald Reagan referred to Communism as a "Mickey Mouse system," that wasn't kind to the mouse.  "Real Communism has never been tried before, but it certainly has been attempted in all sorts of flavors and every single one of them sucked."

2The "crisis" crisis.  "To keep audiences frightened around the clock, journalists seek out Cassandras with their own incentives for fearmongering: politicians, bureaucrats, activists, academics, and assorted experts who gain publicity, prestige, funding, and power during a crisis."

3Defund the "Arts." "I expect I’m speaking on behalf of a lot of people when I say that our entire public life increasingly feels like a bad performance put on for someone else—a tiny subset of unrepresentative, outspoken activists, fellow travelers with outsized voices and their semi-senile patrons oblivious to the grotesque character of these dog and pony shows."

4.  What is the essence of a female-to-male crosser? "Although scientists have long repudiated race essentialism, critical race theorists frame American history as a 500-year, one-dimensional struggle of races pitted endlessly against each other, with people of color as victims and whites as oppressors."


6.  Barstool Populism for the win.  "There is nothing progressive about looking in the rearview mirror for solutions to many of the issues we face today."

7Undermine them with mockery!  "The stunt has been a mortifying self-own for Democrats, who have tut-tutted and scolded us like neurotic nancies all pandemic while privately doing as they please."

8.  Squandering the institutional memory.  "Like all universities in this moment in time, Howard relies significantly upon a faculty of full-time, non-tenure-track professors."  Nikole Hannah-Jones gets tenure, neither Toni Morrison nor Roberta Flack did.


10.  [National Public Radio] sucks and is unlistenable, so people are going elsewhere.  It's also sleep-inducing in the drive time hours.

11Trade-tested betterments rock.  "Just as dental care, car ownership, and airplane travel were once the sole province of the wealthy, so too is space tourism—for now, but probably not forever."


13The American people aren't stupid.  "You can’t escape violence. You must pay more for basic consumer products. Your kids can’t escape leftist indoctrination and they must wear a mask while they listen to it. And you can’t even get a good shower. That’s the Democratic dystopia in a nutshell. Running against the Democratic dystopia should be an easy campaign for the GOP. Vote them all out."  More: "Normal people do not care about what the ‘woke’ Left wants because it’s usually insane, like being pro-crime. And if Democrats want to continue to cater to these privileged white, college-educated liberals who would rather insult instead of persuading people with whom they disagree—enjoy being a permanent minority. "

14Is this a work truck? "The electric F-150 will carry its own nuanced wrinkle, signaling 'truck guy, but not Trump guy.'"  Shorter signal: doofus.

15 Implementing policy is hard.  "It can't be decided based on facts; it comes down to values."

16Had enough yet?  "Americans can put up with an Olympic athlete who hates America, because she wins games anyway." Just turn them off.

17Stuck between cultists and totalitarians.  "Deluded Republicans and Smug Democrats Offer Little Hope for People Who Want To Be Left Alone."


19Tax incidence analysis is hard.  "From the 2018 analysis, the top 10% of earners paid 71.4% of all federal income taxes."  Also, "Can any Democrat other than Bernie Sanders accurately define 'fair share'?"



22.  Somebody could use a second course on "mutually beneficial trades."  "Wall Street’s goal is to get wealthier—no matter the impact on our economy, environment, transportation system or workforce."

23Losing the athletic arms race? "For every minute of awestruck television coverage of football or basketball, another 10,000 talentless clods waste another million hours practicing for an imaginary professional future they will never come close to realizing."  If you land on your feet writing for National Review, that's one thing, but when the newsies of Rockford cover high school sports to excess, that might be a waste.

24.  The tragic vision comes to The Nation.  "Anthony Fauci may be remembered, in the end, as a warning more than an exemplar: an adventurous bureaucrat in the field of scientific research who became a hero in his own eyes. The trouble begins when such a person asks for our implicit trust in return for his good intentions."

25Amen.  "Maybe the problem isn’t that no one on the left still loves America — millions still do. It’s that if you show it, you’re considered right-wing."

REDISCOVERING THE MERCHANDISE DESPATCH SERVICE.

Europe looks to rail to move parcels and small-volume freight.  Read on, and discover that the light rail and tram operators are getting in on the act.  Let's start in Karlsruhe.



Here's the prospectus.
Tram-train operator Albtal-Verkehrs-Gesellschaft (AVG) is planning trials of a freight-carrying streetcar, using a converted tram-train vehicle, to move goods and packets between town centers and the city center, reducing road congestion and pollution.

Freight-carrying streetcars would use the existing extensive Karlsruhe city tram system and the tram-train network to move small batches of freight to hubs in city centers, from which the goods could then be further delivered in a “climate friendly” way, such as by means of electric bikes.
Once upon a time, there were purpose-built streetcars doing this work.


Fox River Trolley Museum, August 2018.

As I noted at the time, "Imagine sorting the letters while the car is making its way through the streets of Chicago, or dropping off a letter as the car passes by to be delivered to grandmother across town the same day."  The Germans are considering a little more flexibility.  "A demonstrator streetcar or tram-train is planned by 2022 that can be used for passenger transport in peak hours and mixed passenger/goods operation during off-peak periods, removing the need to add specialized freight-carrying trams."

Does that sound, dear reader, like a combination car?


When passenger loads are heavy at the Illinois Railway Museum, these trunks provide overflow seating capacity in North Shore Line combination car 251.

The next step might be to create a strictly-for-parcels multiple unit car, which you could tack onto a passenger train. That's how South Shore did it, when you absolutely, positively had to get it there overnight.


South Shore baggage trailer 503 at Michigan City, 19 April 1963
Photograph courtesy Mike Condren.

In its original incarnation, that was a powered postal-baggage-parlor combination car on the Indiana Rail Road.  The shop crews at Michigan City did a pretty good job of concealing all those details.

The Europeans, however, are in the act of converting entire multiple-unit formations into parcels trains.



The British, previously, rolled out fixed formation postal electric multiple unit trains.


Keith Fender photograph retrieved from Trains.

My one complaint is these are fixed-formation trains.  The concept, though, is the same as that of the interurbans, a century ago.  Consider this North Shore Line Merchandise Despatch box motor, in preservation at the Illinois Railway Museum.


The museum will sometimes roll out a train of these for special occasions.  I have not seen them run such a train with The Milwaukee Electric's merchandise despatch car in the formation, although such did happen years ago, and there aren't enough operable despatch cars off other interurbans, yet, to re-enact the through service laid on by Michigan, Ohio, and Indiana interurbans of years ago.  As the museum line does not extend far enough to compete with FedEx or Amazon, your donations are what would make such a train happen.

21.7.21

BUCKS IN SIX.

That summer play value for Cold Spring Shops turned out well.  Just go, read the story, give special props to doing things "the hard way."  We know, we know.

Fifty years ago, the Milwaukee Bucks swept the Baltimore Bullets on April 30, Amtrak began running most of the intercity passenger trains on May 1, and the senior class at Milwaukee Hamilton was preparing for a mid-June graduation.  That storyline of the Bucks being back in a position to win a title has been on our minds.  It's worth recalling that in 1971, the three-point basket was an American Basketball Association (remember the red-white-and-blue basketball?) gimmick, meaning that Oscar Robertson or Jon McGlocklin or Bob Dandridge could only rack up two points per BANGO!


Today, we'll only accentuate the positive.  National news reports tie another night of yobbishness along Water Street to the title game.  "It's the latest in what has turned into a string of violent incidents in the Water Street and downtown area."

Recall, though, that less than a year ago, the Bucks were prepared to forfeit a playoff game to call attention to an arrest gone wrong in Racine, and for yesterday's game, they wore their "statement" primarily black uniforms, something the league adopted to call attention to conditions in the neighborhoods from where many of the stars came.  That's more complexity than I wish to engage today.  Let's just note a couple of anecdotes about tournament most valuable player Giannis Antetokounmpo.  Read this article in full, dear reader, then meditate on this.  "He also was asked about what it means to him to represent the continent of Africa, as both of his parents are from Nigeria. He said he hoped his accomplishments could serve as a symbol to others of what is possible for anyone, no matter who you are or where you come from."  Then read this story about where he went for a victory snack.  "Before he turned the camera on a Chick-fil-A worker, he asked if he could film her and noted there was an audience of 150,000 watching in real time. That's our MVP!"


Yes, there's more Sprecher in the cooler, and some almanacs refer to this full moon as the Buck Moon.  "The Buck Moon gets its name from the antlers of male deer, or bucks, which are in 'full-growth mode' at that time. Bucks shed and then regrow their antlers each year. The cycle leads to larger antlers year after year."

Perhaps basketball's schedule will get back toward something more traditional, like the playoffs done by sometime in June. But another Buck championship in something less than fifty years is desirable.

19.7.21

THE SELF-DESTRUCTION OF HIGHER EDUCATION.

That's nothing new to regular readers.
Hyperspecialized savants lose their perspective, asserts John Naughton. "If our supersmart tech leaders knew a bit more about history or philosophy we wouldn’t be in the mess we’re in now." His focus is on the alacrity with which people were able to exploit social media algorithms for their own purposes, that is to say, on the continued manifestation of the Law of Unintended Consequences. And why were these savants caught flat-footed? Perhaps because Unintended Consequences were not in their course of study.
Four years later, not much has changed. It's not, though, that all the tech geeks were daydreaming in philosopy class, they just never got exposed to anything resembling solid thinking.  The University of California system is committing intellectual suicide in the name of inclusion.
The University’s expressed commitments to academic freedom and the culture of rationalism have not been abandoned, but they are too often considered secondary or irrelevant when confronted by new administrative dictates and social movement activism related to diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI). Many of UC’s DEI policies have proven to be valuable means to guarantee access and to improve equality of opportunity and are compatible with the intellectual mission of the University; others, we will argue, represent threats to a climate supportive of academic freedom and the University’s intellectual mission. These policies have also served as a shield and support for more direct and far-reaching attacks on the foundations of the University’s intellectual mission by radical critics who are convinced of its complicity in racial injustice and other societal sins.
Strong stuff, that, but the authors have the receipts.
In 2018, the University began to experiment with the use of diversity statements as the initial screening device in faculty searches, and to require faculty members on search committees to ignore the institutions from which candidates received their doctorates. Excellent scholars from less prestigious institutions, so the University argued, were being ignored because of the bias in favor of prestigious pedigrees. In a presentation prepared by the UC Davis vice provost for academic affairs search committee members were instructed to review a candidate’s “Contributions to Diversity” statement before any other part of an application, and that candidates who do not “look outstanding with regard to their contributions to diversity” would not advance for further consideration in the hiring process. Reiterating this message, the vice chancellor explained at a conference that “in these searches, it is the candidate’s diversity statement that is considered first; only those who submit persuasive and inspiring statements can advance for complete consideration.” The vice chancellor emphasized that this change is a “game changer” (Ortner, 2020).
Political reliability is more important than classroom technique or research facility.
Unlike First Amendment guarantees, academic freedom does not give free rein to uninformed opinions. It supports only speech based on professional expertise, and, as such, it is the lynchpin around which professors’ freedom of inquiry revolves. The policy of winnowing applicant pools based on diversity statements poses an obvious threat to the climate for academic freedom because of the implicit and explicit expectation that faculty must express a specific view regarding DEI. It is highly plausible that candidates will be (and arguably already have been) discriminated against not only because they do not subscribe to a particular set of political beliefs (as indicated by the UC scoring rubric criteria for “excellent” versus “poor” scores), but also because they do not fit a specific demographic profile (as suggested by the drastically different gender and racial-ethnic compositions of the finalists as compared with the initial pool of candidates in UC Berkeley’s search).
It's possible, I suppose, for faculty members to have the right dispositions with respect to treating people in a nondiscriminatory manner and yet to keep their scholarly integrity.  Don't bet your tenure on it, young readers.
It is possible that today’s attacks on the culture of rationalism will follow a similar pattern. Yet several features of the current situation suggest the possibility of a different trajectory. The difference between the two eras is due in part to the permeation of power-centered epistemological assumptions deeply into the arts, humanities, and social sciences. The engagé philosophers of the 1960s and 1970s – figures such as Jacques Derrida, Michel Foucault, Richard Rorty, and later Judith Butler – argued that truth was not discovered through the canons of rational discourse but was instead a feature of the hegemony of the powerful. These views were adapted and focused on race relations by critical race theorists such as Derrick Bell, Kimberle Crenshaw, and Richard Delgado. By recognizing power as a determining force, the new epistemologies were inclined to see the university’s pretensions to rational discourse as a mere sideshow or, worse, as imbued with assumptions of the powers of the age.

The new epistemologies achieved a prominent position by the end of the 1980s. In 1989, for example, the heads of six nationally prominent humanities centers wrote, “As the most powerful modern philosophies and theories have been demonstrating, claims of disinterest, objectivity, and universality are not to be trusted” (ACLS 1989, 56). Claims to objectivity, they argued, were usually no more than disguised forms of power seeking. Since that time, the critique of the culture of rationalism has never ceased to be a prevalent position in the humanities and the more interpretive branches of the social sciences.
From there, it is easy enough to denounce any call for evidence as a power play.
Whenever laws, social conventions, or prejudice prevent a subordinate racial group access to valued resources or, alternatively, subject that group to unjust treatment, we can say that systemic racism exists. The existence of a racial disparity suggests, as the courts have affirmed (U.S. Supreme Court 2015), that systemic racism may be the reason. If blacks are channeled as a result of racism into the lowest levels of the class structure, they will not, for example, have the funds to attend college except in rare instances. They will therefore have little prospect of studying any fields that can provide a middle- or upper-middle class income, even if they have or could develop an aptitude for and interest in these fields. In this case a distributional disparity is related to racism, and it would not be stretching matters to describe it as an outcome of systemic racism because there have been institutional mechanisms at work to create this result.

But those who are concerned about the over-reach of the concept will point out that racial disparities alone do not prove racism. If universities, for example, provide a sizable number of places to blacks and blacks have an equal chance of studying a wide range of fields, are encouraged to do so, and are provided support to do so successfully, then any disparities that continue to exist cannot be easily described as resulting from systemic racism, at least not systemic racism in the university. Yet in the eyes of movement supporters, those who do not attribute every disparity to systemic issues are willfully obtuse. What’s more, the expanded referential scope of the term “systemic racism” is typically attached to demands that the system be thoroughly dismantled and transformed along the lines advocated by movement supporters. If structural racism is the problem, then it follows that structures must be thoroughly transformed, well beyond the DEI policies currently in effect. If no one raises objections to the advocacy of structural transformation for fear of being accused of supporting racism, the movement’s diagnostic and prognostic language is left to fill the void.
All that annoying hypothesis testing and sensitivity checking: effort in support of reactionary causes!
Most UC scientists and engineers hope to diversify their ranks to better reflect a changing population and campus student body, but their work continues to run, by and large, along the tracks prescribed by the culture of rationalism and traditional standards of merit such as the quality of the journals in which they publish and their citation counts. And even within the faculties of arts, humanities, and social sciences, a range of outlooks persist.
It remains to be seen whether logic and content will carry the day, or whether the barbarians inside and outside will destroy the university.
If the culture of rationalism is not upheld and the purpose of academic freedom becomes lost in the University’s preoccupation with its ideological commitments, we suspect that the University’s ability to generate knowledge will diminish over time. Important research questions that may undermine the arguments of anti-racist activists will not be asked for fear of social and/or professional repercussions. Ultimately, there may be few faculty members who are even interested in research questions that do not align with the university’s DEI and social justice agenda, for committees will have successfully prevented such individuals from entering the academy.
It might be too late already.  Peer review isn't all it's cracked up to be.  If authors have to tweak their submissions so as to tick the boxes the politically reliable reviewers will insist on, it will only get worse.
The traditional peer review process demands enormous amounts of time while providing only hit-or-miss and superficial appraisals of research quality. The result is a proliferation of scholarship of widely varying quality and much duplication of effort. This regime benefits scholars individually by thickening their curriculum vitae.

We may forget, however, that citation and publication numbers are not supposed to be ends in themselves but, rather, just proxies for adding useful and accurate information to society’s store of knowledge. Society might be better served by fewer scholarly journals publishing fewer articles that have been much more widely and thoroughly vetted.
Exactly, and by research-minded departments everywhere acting as if they are in the same business as the well-endowed Ivies and grant-funded land-grants, and rewarding publications that make significant contributions, rather than tallying glass beads in the journals nobody reads.

TAKING CARE OF BUSINESS.

Don't all Major League Baseball teams encounter a long grind of consecutive games leading up to the All-Star break?  For the Milwaukee Brewers, that grind has sometimes coincided with a slide in the standings.
The warning signs were present going into the All-Star break, with the Crew losing two of three (both in extra innings) in Miami and five straight at Pittsburgh, to be overhauled by the Chicago Cubs. Brewer fans and pundits, though, aren't in the habit of expecting victory. The spin, as stirred up by the commentators, was, "Had anyone told us at the beginning of the season that the team would be two games behind the Cubs and holding the first wild card, we'd have taken it."

No, we have to talk about how the team went from three games ahead of the Cubs with the best record in the National League to holding the second wild card today.

A year ago, at the All-Star break, the Brewers were leading the division, with the Cubs a few wins shy of .500, and the Brewers regressed to the mean, as did the Cubs, and the conversation this time of year was, you guessed it, "Had anyone told us at the beginning of the season that the team would be playing .500 baseball, and in the middle of the wild card mix, we'd have taken it."

Yes, the Brewers were in the first or second year of a rebuild, and they might have overachieved at the beginning of the season, but, again, we have to talk about how the team went from leading the division at the All-Star break to out of the playoff at the end of the season.
That was the summer of 2018.  When a team has consistently been out of the running, sometimes by the All-Star break, that might be good enough.

I was worried a week ago, when the Brewers ... lost three of four at Cincinnati, and at least one radio talker did the "had anyone told us" this time with the bright side being leading the division by four games.  Yes, that was leading ... the Cincinnati Reds by four games ... after having lost three of four at Cincinnati.

The rest might have done the team some good.  It's not just long stretches without a rest day, the schedule-maker decided that after hosting Cincinnati for four games, the Brewers would ... play three games at Cincinnati.
After losing three of four at home to the Cincinnati Reds heading into the all-star break, the Brewers turned the tables and capped a three-game sweep with a 8-0 shutout at Great American Ball Park on Sunday afternoon.

Corbin Burnes dominated with a career-high, 8⅓-inning start and 12 strikeouts while the offense rode a four-run fifth and added home runs from Christian Yelich in the seventh and Willy Adames in the ninth.

It all helped Milwaukee open its lead in the National League Central back up to seven games – one more than it was when the two teams began their stretch of seven straight meetings bookending the all-star break.
Good.

The usual suspects at this time of the season are the Cubs.  Not so much in 2021.
The Brewers feed off the Cubs in a manner that maybe isn’t felt as fully in reverse. The Cubs core has won a World Series. The Cubs core is far more famous than the dudes 80 miles up the road. But the Brewers have held their own head-to-head for a while now, and speaking of heads: The Brewers have crawled all the way into the Cubs’.
Yes, the Cubs famously won that 2016 World Series (and Donald Trump famously won a presidential election a few days later).  But in the 2018 season, the narrative started to shift from "glass half full" to "just win, baby."  Specifically, "Despite a difficult July and early August, the Milwaukee Brewers have recently won four of six games from the Cubs, and are in a position to overhaul the Cubs for the division lead, if the end of the season endurance grind wears the Cubs out." The 2018 edition of the Brewers did grind the Cubs down, catching them at the end of the season, winning the 163rd game, then sweeping the Rockies and getting within a game of the World Series.

Let this season's Brewers take note.  Let Milwaukee officials also note that the last time a Milwaukee team won the World Series, there was streetcar service to the stadium.

MIKE GRAVEL UNDERSTOOD SUNK COSTS.

The point is important enough not to be lost among a flurry of Friday short takes. “You know what’s worse than a soldier dying in vain is more soldiers dying in vain.”  The senator was objecting to continuing military action in Vietnam. "Gravel understood that continuing a war because we have already invested a lot will not bring back the dead or honor the fallen." The principle generalizes.  It's whether additional resources committed, at the margin, are effective or not.  "People can argue about what these future costs and benefits are, and how much they are, but blood spilled in the past should not determine future actions."

The same thing is true about attempting to salvage investments in railways to nowhere.  "Sometimes, it is efficient to cut your losses."  Not that Molders of Opinion are about intellectual clarity.

16.7.21

A SUNDAY SERMON ON FRIDAY.

I'll conclude this week with two optimistic posts from two very different sources.  First up, Micah Meadowcroft on sustaining the bourgeois virtues when all around you are losing their minds and blaming you.
The task in the meantime, then, is to light whatever little candles of culture you can in the face of an encroaching dark and keep them lit by any means necessary, conventionally political or otherwise. Then marry, have children, and add fuel to the fires till they become conflagrations big enough to burn away the chaff. The twilight that is falling now will only make it easier to see the other points of light, to find your companions in the long war’s fight.
Followed by Matt "Dean Dad" Reed.
Better, I think, to acknowledge that we’re all good and we’re all flawed. The work of ethics is to move toward getting better in the ways we treat each other. Sometimes that means charity; sometimes it means structural change; sometimes it means just extending patience and forgiveness as somebody else makes the mistakes of growth. That’s a conscious choice that needs to be made over and over again. It requires listening to people who see things differently, in recognition that everyone has some truth to share. It requires avoiding the cheap thrills of condemnation in favor of the slow work of education. It embraces second chances, rather than taking initial failures as signs of irredeemable fallenness. We’re all flawed, and we’re all capable of more. All who want to do better should be welcome.
Enjoy the basketball championship, dear reader.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

There are a lot of them this week, and many of them are not cheerful.  I have a basketball championship to pay attention to, as well as the crumbling of communism, in Cuba and California alike, to savor.

If this list ever grows to around ninety entries in a week, I will have to look for a cathedral door.

THE NATIONAL DEANS' LIST IS IN.

In conference, the Northern Illinois women's basketball team did pretty well in the classroom.  "The academic performance information is in and once again the Northern Illinois women's basketball team places seven players on the conference version of the dean's list." That record stood up pretty well among all teams. "NIU Women’s Basketball Seventh In WBCA Academic Top 25 Honor Roll."  That's moving up four places from a year ago, when I was moved to ask, "For the duration of the quarantines, is there any reason to think that virtual education from the Ivies is any better from that provided in the mid-majors?"

It's not as though these kids are getting a participation trophy from the Mid-American, either.  "Look, if your honor students are good enough to on occasion beat up the presumptive conference champions, and on occasion the conference participants (plural deliberate) in the association tournament show themselves well am I really out of place suggesting the Mid-American teams offer a value proposition involving good academics and visible basketball?"

Good going, kids.  The university anticipates in-person attendance by the students and the general public when the 2021-2022 season tips off.  Now show me that all the Navy SEAL training you've been reporting on all summer turns into extending a ten-point lead at halftime.

13.7.21

WHICH EXCESS CAPACITY SHOULD BE SHAKEN OUT?

Matt "Dean Dad" Reed reacts to a recent Jay Mathews column in a way that Emery Troxel's observation about people hiding their economic demands under a political cover manifests itself.

Ostensibly, the Mathews column and the Reed response are about the more effective way to expand college opportunities.  As far as I know, the U.S. News problem is still a real thing.  I don't know whether there are more applicants for slots at the hundred or so institutions claiming to be in the top twenty, or not.  If there aren't enough matriculants for those institutions to make payroll, "I suspect we'll manage without Hampshire or Macalester or Evergreen State."  From that perspective, the subprime party schools ought to go.  That might be "advantage New Jersey," as the Mathews column misperceives the role of community college.  "[W]hat Biden’s [cheaper or free community college] plan does is lower expectations for millions of students in poverty across the nation. Why should our goal for low-income students be community college? The goal for all students should be college."  No, the goal for all students should not be college, and there might be more effective ways for the aspirants to college to identify themselves, which is the Reed counterpoint.  "Starting at a place that specializes in the first two years, and does so at low cost, serves many students well -- the ones who go on outperform 'native' freshmen. For others who choose to jump into the workforce sooner -- entirely absent from Mathews’s piece -- two years of community college can be just the thing."  The transfers-outperforming-native students in upper division courses manifested itself at Northern Illinois.  Whether that's because community colleges don't offer the beer-'n-circus distractions that wreck many a collegian's aspirations at the residential campuses is for future research.

Where the two columnists appear to be talking to cross purposes is in their misapprehension of what causes the divide in education.  "Making community colleges free while not increasing aid to pay for four-year colleges will intensify the socioeconomic divide in America. Low-income students will be relegated to attend community colleges, while more affluent families will send their children directly to four-year colleges."  That's only a problem if the community colleges don't serve students well.  Dean Dad notes, "If you screen out anyone without a track record of being good at school, you will have high success rates. If those students went to community college instead, they’d graduate at remarkably high rates. It’s what they do. Our students look much more like America. To pretend that those variables don’t matter is absurd."

Those variables matter.  So, too, does the level of academic rigor.  I don't know enough about the institutional performance at various public campuses of the Official Region to be able to evaluate the "dropout factory" claims that come up in the Mathews column.  I do know that the City Colleges of New York used to produce high performance graduates at those remarkably high rates, as did the City College of Detroit (now Wayne State.)  Somewhere, though, those high standards went away.  There's an anonymous whinge on Quillette about how far the erosion went.  Take that at face value, dear reader, the tale reads like a collage of all the things participants in the old College Misery or Rate Your Students weblogs enumerated, or perhaps from those long-gone weblogs of the Anonymous Neurotic Humanities Types with Cats.  There is, however, enough of the story that rings true, or that had me nodding my head, yes, could well have happened.  "We hammer on Middlebury in order that Northern Illinois (or Delaware, or Nebraska) not enable snowflakes."

Perhaps there is enough capacity in the existing community college system to provide the kind of access and preparation Dean Dad asserts is already in place in New Jersey.  That does not preclude shaking out the dropout factories (not necessarily the community colleges) elsewhere.  Let alone the excess capacity in graduate degrees.  "Defund Columbia and other elite institutions guilty of this practice. End the federal loans for graduate schools that have enabled the Ivy League master’s-degree racket to go on for so long."

It might be that the New Jersey version of the 2+2 plan is a more productive use of resources than keeping the branch campuses of Rutgers open, in the same way that keeping the Williamstown to Albany bus and a dependable connection for and from Rochester and Buffalo might have been.  And yet, the challenge facing higher education remains the challenge facing the railroads of the 1960s, which is to say retrenching, even with those grants and tax subsidies for the Ivies playing the roles of the Highway Trust Fund and the Army Corps of Engineers.  I repeat myself, because repeat myself I must.  "It's a blessing to have a prosperous enough society in which young people can spend some time figuring out what to do next, but the access-assessment-remediation-retention model of higher education stacked on top of the lax K-12 system contributes to depriving young people of the framework from which to commence figuring."

RAIL BARON IN THE BLIND.

When people gather in the rumpus room to play Rail Baron, they know how many others are playing, and they might be able to estimate how much money each player has.  If you're holding a valuable property, you have a pretty good idea who is going to get into a bidding war for it.  Canadian National might be able to win the war of attrition with Canadian Pacific, and the players don't have to clear their moves with a finance committee, or get the approval of the cartel managers Surface Transportation Board.  "One of Canadian National’s largest shareholders is telling the railroad to drop its bid to acquire Kansas City Southern after federal regulators announced that a potential CN-KCS merger would be greeted with intense scrutiny."  I'm not sure how, subject to the constraints of a parlor game, one could incorporate governmental oversight even in finite time.  Likewise, I'm not sure how one might incorporate secret players.  "[Kansas City Southern] was pursued by at least two other suitors besides Canadian Pacific and Canadian National – including an unnamed Class I system that was interested in acquiring only part of the cross-border railroad — during the lengthy process leading to its planned merger with [Canadian National]."  One of the potential buyers, "Party A," might not have been a railroad.

GOVERNOR PRITZKER TRAILS BY 11,187.

The geographic area and population of Illinois are both similar to those in Sweden, and there are similarities of the Chicago and Stockholm metropolitan areas.  But  Springfield politicians are hazardous to your health.  Governor J. B. Pritzker (D-Lake Geneva) continues to micromanage and destroy local businesses.

A service called Worldometers has been keeping track of coronavirus infections and deaths, disaggregated in a number of ways.

The latest report from Sweden counts 1,093,209 infections and 14,606 deaths.
The latest report from Illinois counts 1,397,667 infections and 25,793 deaths.

Conditions in Illinois are such that a transition to a full reopening is in order.   The full reopening of the state, subject to local mask mandates or businesses requesting customers to mask up, commenced last Friday, 11 June.  I don't see anything in the past month's tallies to suggest there's something scary afoot.

The state continues to administer vaccines.  The latest count approaches thirteen million injections (the page doesn't disaggregate among finished and pending) and the latest count of those scary variants notes just over ten thousand, with 2,600 or so being whatever the "gamma" variant is.

These post will continue, less frequently, as long as update information is available.


Note the time series: a margin of terror that used to be growing by hundreds in a week is growing by around a hundred, or less.  The details for the past seven months are on page 2.

11.7.21

JOSH BARRO BURNS HIS MAN CARD.

He wrote a column, mercifully behind a pay-wall, for Business Insider.  Joe Cunningham read it, so you don't have to.
I hope you, my dear readers, are preparing to grill or barbecue something extraordinary for your family and friends tomorrow. Do not let this anti-American journalist fool you into thinking what you’re doing is bad or wrong. He is just confused and possibly afraid of grilling. As long as man has existed, man has been afraid of fire. For some, it is a fear that disrupts both logic and good taste. It is a pity to see.
Richard Cromwell concurs.
Whether Independence Day or just a random Thursday, grilling is good. It offers a chance to connect with friends and discuss stuff. It allows us to celebrate the environment in our own way. It can serve as family time for those of us with lots of daughters. Most important, grilled foods are the most delicious foods. There’s a reason that grilling is associated with special occasions.

So, get out there, fire up your grill, maybe knock some of the house seasoning blend off the grates, throw down some meats, and make Independence Day great again. For while things are bleak, this is still America and in America, we go big or go home. Barro has made his choice, but you don’t have to choose the same.
Reminds me, the Weber has cooled off enough that it's time to soak the grill in order to keep it clean.

FREQUENCY, CONNECTIVITY, AND SCARCITY.

Matt "Dean Dad" Reed makes a case for funding colleges that starts with a transportation story.  "Transportation scholars probably have a more elegant term for this, but 'induced nondemand' at least gets to the gist of it." It's probably simpler to treat his story as the contrapositive to Field of Dreams.  They won't come if you didn't build it.  But when you don't have the ghost of Babe Ruth assuring you that carving that base-ball diamond out of that corn field is a winning proposition, you'd better have a solid case that going to the trouble of providing it was worth doing.  There are some general principles applicable to government provision of transportation or education alike, and an exegesis of Talmudic proportions will commence beyond the jump.

BRUNO, THE PERIPATETIC BEAR.

It's not that Wisconsin is necessarily hostile territory for bears.  Some of them just go on walkabout.
Bruno was an adult male black bear from Wisconsin, and a handsome one at that.

But none of that made him unusual in a state with about 30,000 bears.

His wanderlust is what really set him apart.

In late spring and early summer of 2020 he left the Badger State and swam the Mississippi River into Iowa.

He stuck out in the greening farm fields and open spaces and became a novelty. It's there he was given his name.
Once the Iowa caucuses are over, watching the corn grow isn't exciting.
Last June more than 100 people gathered to watch and photograph Bruno in Scott County, Iowa, according to the Des Moines Register. Police issued warnings about "loving the bear to death."
Unfortunately, "I'm from the government and I'm here to help you" is bad news for humans and ursines alike.
Bruno made it out of Iowa and back into Wisconsin before heading south into Illinois and Missouri.

Last Fourth of July weekend he drew a crowd estimated at 400 people in a maze of highways outside St. Louis. But since that posed risks for Bruno and his audience, officials with the Missouri Department of Conservation tranquilized the bear and relocated him to the northeastern corner of the Ozark Mountains.
You knew that unintended consequences would follow.
Bruno then continued his trek south into Arkansas and eventually Louisiana.

As so often happens with large land animals that make long movements out of their home range, this one ended with Bruno being struck by a vehicle.

The bear, which had two broken legs, was euthanized Tuesday by staff with the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries.

It's estimated Bruno traveled 800 miles, a very long way for any animal, especially a black bear.
His wanderings, though, apparently provided a non-controversial conversation starter for people who were following his wanderings.

THE FACULTY OUGHT BE THE STEWARDS OF THE CURRICULUM.

I never told you that it would be easy.  These days, the stewardship might manifest itself when it's ideologically convenient.
Politicians in a democratic society should not manipulate public school curricula to advance partisan or ideological aims. In higher education, under principles of academic freedom that have been widely endorsed, professors are entitled to freedom in the classroom in discussing their subject. Educators, not politicians, should make decisions about teaching and learning.
They ought exercise that freedom responsibly, right? "Real teachers focus on the intellectual growth of students, not on their political or social engagement. The character they should seek to foster in their students is that of disengaged love of learning married to affection for their country and their fellow Americans."

Sometimes, they stand on that principle.
The Board of Trustees for Purdue University and all its regional campuses is set to vote on a civic literacy requirement today, without the formal endorsement of any faculty body and over the objections of some faculty members.

The irony was not lost on Alice Pawley, an associate professor of engineering education at Purdue’s flagship West Lafayette campus and a member of its University Senate and American Association of University Professors chapter.

“It's like democracy and civic literacy are so important, we’re willing to be dictators about it,” she said. “We are bringing about this big, precedent-setting change to thousands of undergraduates in a way that does not demonstrate an awareness of governance.”
If the faculty had carried out its stewardship properly, it would not have come to that pass.

Too often, though, the trendy stuff crowds out the sensible stuff, with nary a quibble in the curriculum committee or the faculty senate.
Simply reading Victorian feminists and learning from them isn’t enough.

According to Professor Lana Dalley’s recent article for the Nineteenth-Century Gender Studies journal, “Confronting ‘White Feminism’ in the Victorian Literature Classroom,” Victorian feminists are “problematic” because they promote “white feminism.”

With their focus on women’s suffrage and individual development, these pioneering women neglected issues of race and racism, she argues.

“Left unacknowledged and unchallenged, the race and class politics of Victorian feminisms might result in humiliation, exclusion, and white validation in the classroom,” writes Dalley, a professor of English at California State University Fullerton.

Dalley sees a need for instructors to operate under an “antiracist feminist pedagogy.” This method of teaching would use modern feminist theory to inform class conversations and push back on any and all Victorian ideals, acknowledging the “white epistemologies at their heart.”

It’s part of what she calls world-building, which is the practice of deciding how to interpret the world and guiding students to create new worlds.

“Most undergraduate students enter a Victorian literature classroom with little to no knowledge of the subject, and faculty build a world for them to explore,” she writes, afterward elaborating on how that world should be framed by modern intersectional feminism.
Like that's going to make the Victorian female authors' writing any less soporific, or the Victorian feminists more persuasive.  Also, don't the economists or sociologists get to time-slip the course duplication implicit in such claims?

Where the faculty refuse to exercise proper stewardship, the trustees, and, where applicable, the legislators, must throw the challenge flag.

9.7.21

ELECTRIC FREIGHT.

A different sort of Friday short take, recorded at last month's O Scale National convention in Denver.


Trolleys and interurbans have long been a way to work O Scale into a smaller space, and freight trains were often short, and rare as towns would sometimes ban freight trains from their streets.

ISN'T THE AMERICAN BAPTIST CONVENTION AN OPTION?

Mark Tapscott seems worried.  "Something is very rotten in the Southern Baptist Convention (SBC), which represents America’s largest Protestant denomination, and it is only a matter of time before it goes the sad way of the mainline Methodists and Presbyterians."  Some of what follows is a flap about borrowing sermon texts without attribution.  Mr Tapscott fears, though, that the convention is going to let false dogma into the congregations.  "Most of the 14 million Southern Baptists in the denomination’s churches will not sit and be propagandized with [critical race theory] or any other false gospel much longer. Keep it up and the SBC will soon be just another dying Protestant has-been."

It might be simpler for the congregations that want to do the World Council of Churches thing to change their affiliation from the Southern to the American, which has long been the WASPy part of the Baptist tradition, complete with lessons to be inclusive in the contemporary way.

FRIDAY short TAKES.

Independence Day might herald the beginning of the end of summer, with sunsets perceptibly earlier at these latitudes, the signs advertising the Boone County Fair sprouting, and inventory being placed in stores to fill those increasingly detailed supply lists that now plague Back To School promotions.  People continue to write columns though, that are more suitable for a "Told You So" or perhaps a concurrence, rather than an extended post.


2Ignore the usual graduation exhortations!  "At least, please don’t try to change the world in the way that such a challenge is typically understood."

3.  The administrative state is not omnipotent.  "If the [Centers for Disease Control] cannot be trusted to give Americans sound advice, it surely cannot be trusted to give them orders."


5Deconstruct this.  "We struggle to answer the question of what is right, because we have lost our grasp on the tools to determine what is true."

6.  "Do-nothing President" might be desirable.  "Every day that Biden’s most-covered comment is about chocolate-chip ice cream is another day that his most-covered comment is not about building support for any particular legislative proposal."

7.  Making the best of a bad situation?  "I remain rather bemused that universities, let alone elite ones, are hiring people without terminal degrees or a record of scholarly publication—or, indeed, having previously served as full-time academics—as tenured professors, it’s apparently a thing in non-academic departments."  How bad is the situation? "[North Carolina] now escapes the burden and liability of a tenured [Nikole] Hannah-Jones. Howard University gains a trophy appointment of a chaired professor whose notoriety as a fabulist will never go away."

8Don't drive like a Loonie.  "When I moved to the Twin Cities, and first encountered metro drivers, I wanted to keep some sort of document that proved I knew how to drive, too."


10Undermine them with mockery!  "For republican Americans to shield ourselves and restore our liberties, we must specify and explain that disrespect with regard to every part of the oligarchy. Unlike Trump, we must assert and explain the falsehood of claims to superior knowledge and morality, and build on these explanations by organizing and supporting popular acts of collective disobedience."

11The world the Anointed made?  "Urban Progressive Privilege means never having to feel awkward about the devastation your policies inevitably lead to."

12.  The case for separating school and state? "An effort by Roman Catholics to obtain a share of state educational spending for the network of parochial schools they were developing, in reaction to the overt Protestantism of public schools, served as the impetus for these measures."

13Model Cities, anything but!  "What finally killed Greenwood wasn’t an angry racist mob, it was the federally-funded interstate highway system. Coupled with urban renewal, highways built through North Tulsa’s Greenwood neighborhood in the late 1960s did what the Klan and white racists couldn’t do: demolish the and depopulate the place."

14Weaponized government failure.  "Somewhere along the line, the urban Democrat machine politicians realized that running cities badly enough would chase off the middle class and leave them with a thin crust of wealthy people over a large mass of the poor."  See also, "Then came the one-two punch of the Great Society agendas of upper-middle class, white liberals and the pernicious social and cultural legacy of Sixties—abortion on demand, promiscuity, rejection of religious faith, single-parent family, drug use, and crime and violence as revolutionary acts. That neutron bomb was dropped on the black community but without compensatory resources of the white suburbanite."

15The limits of expertise.  "Governments of all stripes pass many well-intended rules that thwart the achievement of our full economic potential."  (Strikeout added by the Superintendent.)

16.  "National service" is coerced cheap labor for inefficient use of resources.  "That’s the euphemism for conscripting them to work on projects the politicians like."  The idea gets some support from so-called national greatness conservatives, which means be alert for claims of "bipartisan support" for the latest incarnation of the subbotnik.

17.  Faith traditions don't always come with testaments or scrolls.  "Any philosophy that says 'and it’s invalid to disagree with us. And if you express an opinion/idea/analysis contrary to ours you are a hater who hates' is a totalitarian philosophy." Or, you might be arguing with somebody who doesn't understand his side of the case very well.

18.  The conflict of interest that is state-sponsored (or establishment foundation sponsored) research.  "The corporate university has turned former professional sceptics and intellectual rabble rousers into automata and shills for the funding classes. The research-publishing-funding cycle drives all academic behaviour now."

19.  Abraham Lincoln spoke of kings, he could also be speaking of Platonic guardians.  "You will find that all the arguments in favor of king-craft were of this class; they always bestrode the necks of the people, not that they wanted to do it, but because the people were better off for being ridden."

20Betsy McCaughey: "Let's get real. HR 1 is a corrupt scheme to make cheating widespread."  I hope to weigh such claims in a future longer post.

21South Park, Barstool? "So yeah, Republicans, if being the 'Barstool Party' means celebrating individual achievement, the private sector, and telling the leftist culture Stasi where to put it, then let’s give a big 'Hell yeah!' to that."

22.  "Which party, if either, will grow up first?"  Maybe, with "college sophomore" appearing to be the default setting of "politically active" types of whatever stripe (yes, even those ancient faculty activists), that's asking too much.  "Democrats have been allowing players with adolescent mindsets to determine their policies, and Republicans have been embracing a leader with adolescent behavior control problems. It's time for the parties to grow up and pay attention to the signals and cues voters are sending them in the political marketplace."

NO. NEXT QUESTION?

Is it time to banish fireworks, once and for all?  Your dyspeptic leftist is generally somebody who is so, so, concerned that somebody might be having fun.  That means no grilling out, either.  "This Fourth of July, skip the fireworks and campfires – instead, catch a laser light show, make s’mores in the microwave and celebrate by keeping summer skies smoke-free for as long as possible."

Live your life, own a lib.

SENILITY IS NO EXCUSE.

A Distinguished Visitor went to McHenry County Community College and attempted to be funny.  "Think what it will mean to McHenry’s entrepreneurial agricultural program if we can get products more easily to Chicago. Think about how much easier life will be when it’s quicker to drive on Randall Road. (Laughter.)"

It. Won't.  Happen.  Whatever time flatlanders lose to construction delays they will never get back, either because of the induced demand, or because of the maltimed traffic lights, something that is unlikely ever to be corrected given all the traffic in and out of the strip malls.  But the schoolkids will get new electric school buses to be confined to.

7.7.21

UNITY IN DIVERSITY.

After that run of gloomy content, how about a shared moment of good cheer.



I'll leave the sports sociology for another day.  Primarily white audiences watching predominantly black players?  Why can't the women's professional teams figure out how to pitch their entertainment to a broader audience?

For now, the Milwaukee Bucks, who last won a title in 1971, are playing the Phoenix Suns, who lost the Lew Alcindor coin flip, for the National Basketball Association title.  That's at least a little play value for Cold Spring Shops.

THE GREENIES WOULD CALL IT CONSERVATION. THE REALITY IS IT'S DEPRIVATION.

A doomsday environmentalist called C. J. Polychroniou tells us not to worry, and to be happy.  "We have the technical know-how as well as the available economic resources to make the transition to a clean energy future. Now it must be done."

Sorry, no.
In order to save the planet from catastrophic climate change, Americans will have to cut their energy use by more than 90 percent and families of four should live in housing no larger than 640 square feet. That's at least according to a team of European researchers led by University of Leeds sustainability researcher Jefim Vogel. In their new study, "Socio-economic conditions for satisfying human needs at low energy use," in Global Environmental Change, they calculate that public transportation should account for most travel. Travel should, in any case, be limited to between 3,000 to 10,000 miles per person annually.
I suppose I could sell indulgences for the commuting I'm no longer doing, but read on, dear reader, and discover that a return to medieval living standards might be our salvation.
Vogel and his colleagues are undaunted by the fact that there are absolutely no examples of low-energy societies providing decent living standards—as defined by the researchers themselves—for their citizens. So they proceed to jigger the various provisioning factors until they find that what is really needed is a "more fundamental transformation of the political-economic regime." That fundamental transformation includes free government-provided high-quality public services in areas such as health, education, and public transport.

"We also found that a fairer income distribution is crucial for achieving decent living standards at low energy use," said co-author Daniel O'Neill, from Leeds' School of Earth and Environment. "To reduce existing income disparities, governments could raise minimum wages, provide a Universal Basic Income, and introduce a maximum income level. We also need much higher taxes on high incomes, and lower taxes on low incomes."
Rush Limbaugh always argued that environmentalism was a stalking horse for communism, didn't he? More seriously, where, though, will the production come from for the governments to tax and allocate?  The study isn't about those Polychronioutic green jobs, it's more about stopping the burning of fossil fuels.
Two things that humanity for sure doesn't need according to the study are economic growth or the continued extraction of natural resources such as oil, coal, gas, or minerals. Vogel concluded: "In short, we need to abandon economic growth in affluent countries, scale back resource extraction, and prioritize public services, basic infrastructures and fair income distributions everywhere." He added, "In my view, the most promising and integral vision for the required transformation is the idea of degrowth—it is an idea whose time has come."

The researchers' assertion that "large reductions in energy use are required" is actually a non sequitur because it is not energy use per se that is contributing to man-made global warming, but the emissions of carbon dioxide associated with the burning of fossil fuels. In fact, when they set their 27-gigajoule per capita threshold, they specifically ruled out "speculative" technological progress. However, transitioning to no-carbon energy sources such as nuclear, wind, and solar power would solve the problem without forcing humanity to go on the ridiculously strict energy diet they call for.
Perhaps it's churlish of me to point out that open markets provide ways to value and compensate people for converting "speculative" technologies into the state of the art.
Founder of the ecomodernist Breakthrough Institute Ted Nordhaus was correct when he argued, "The utopian dreams of those who wish to radically reorganize the world to stop climate change are not a plausible global future." The far better course for addressing the problem of climate change (and many others) is for humanity to aim for a high-energy planet. Instead of energy abstinence and degrowth, ecomodernists call for a "massive expansion of energy systems, primarily carried out in the rapidly urbanizing global South, in combination with the rapid acceleration of clean energy innovation."

Developing a high-energy planet will spur economic growth and innovation, helping to provide for all of the human needs that concern Vogel and his colleagues. Instead of trying to force Americans to live on the amount of energy currently available to Bolivians, the goal should be to enable people in energy-starved poor countries to gain access to energy supplies currently enjoyed by average Americans.
Perhaps it's all moot anyway, as the financial markets will get you before the environmentalist doomsayers do.
Sometime this summer, that pretty big problem will be acknowledged, and the nation will see that we are not in a recovery at all, but rather a permanent contraction that will be labeled “a depression.”

Actually, it will not be a “depression,” either, exactly, which implies a cyclical dip, even a big one, because the cycle itself is broken — and to understand that, you must delve into the nature of the long emergency: the energy resource and capital scarcity quandary facing techno-industrial societies. The direct implication of this broken cycle will be even more social distress, which is being aggravated by the racial provocations ginned up by the Woke “Joe Biden” regime, and which will blow up in its face if there is another summer of riots, burning, and looting.
That's the perpetually dyspeptic James "Long Emergency" Kunstler, and the part of the argument that might bear more careful study is that the price of crude oil at which extraction by fracking is a paying proposition is pretty close to the price of crude oil at which businesses start retrenching and those long air trips become pricey.  We'll see.

Decide for yourself, dear reader, would you rather the deprivation be managed or emergent?