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COVID-19 Scenarios
Models of COVID-19 outbreak trajectories and hospital demand
...This tool is based on the SIR model (see about page for details) that simulates a COVID19 outbreak. The population is initially mostly susceptible (other than for initial cases). Individuals that recover from COVID19 are subsequently immune. Currently, the parameters of the model are not fit data but are simply defaults. These might fit better for some localities than others. In particular, the initial case counts are often only rough estimates. The primary purpose of the tool is to explore the dynamics of COVID19 cases and the associated strain on the health care system in the near future. ...
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